Three Equations, Three TDEEs: We Ran Mifflin, Harris–Benedict, and NASEM on Six Bodies

Type the same body into three different TDEE equations and you get three different answers — not because one is broken, but because each one is a different population average wearing a lab coat. We ran all three on six personas through the same engine that powers our calculators, so you can see the disagreement in kilocalories instead of adjectives.

· 9 min read

Every TDEE calculator picks one equation, multiplies by an activity factor, and prints the answer to the nearest calorie. This site runs three equations and shows you where they disagree — so for this post we took six personas, ran each one through Mifflin-St Jeor, the revised Harris–Benedict, and the NASEM 2023 Estimated Energy Requirement equations using the exact engine behind the TDEE calculator, and tabulated the damage. All figures below are build-time outputs of that engine, not hand-typed numbers.

The six personas, computed three ways

PersonaMifflin BMRHarris–Benedict BMRMifflin TDEE (mid)NASEM 2023 EERMifflin ↔ NASEM spread
Man, 30, 180 cm, 80 kg
activity ×1.55
1,7801,8542,7593,126367
Man, 45, 175 cm, 95 kg
activity ×1.2
1,8241,9452,1892,743554
Man, 60, 172 cm, 78 kg
activity ×1.375
1,5601,6182,1452,525380
Woman, 28, 165 cm, 60 kg
activity ×1.375
1,3301,3921,8292,197368
Woman, 40, 160 cm, 75 kg
activity ×1.2
1,3891,4641,6672,098431
Woman, 55, 163 cm, 68 kg
activity ×1.55
1,2631,3431,9582,230272

Mifflin TDEE uses the site's standard multipliers (sedentary 1.2 / light 1.375 / moderate 1.55); each persona's activity tier maps to the closest NASEM PAL class per the official Table 5-4 bands. BMR figures are resting-only; TDEE/EER include activity.

What the table actually shows

Three patterns fall out. First, the revised Harris–Benedict runs hotter than Mifflin at the BMR level in 6 of 6 personas — by 58–121 kcal/day, smallest for the man, 60, 172 cm, 78 kg persona and largest for the heaviest one (man, 45, 175 cm, 95 kg). That is the Frankenfield 2005 finding reproduced on our own small sample: Harris–Benedict overestimates, and the bias grows with obesity (PMID 15883556). Second, the Mifflin↔NASEM TDEE spread averages 395 kcal/day across the six, ranging from 272 (woman, 55, 163 cm, 68 kg) to 554 kcal/day for the man, 45, 175 cm, 95 kg persona. Third, NASEM reads higher than the Mifflin-based TDEE in 6 of 6 personas here — not because NASEM is generous, but because its coefficients weight age, height, and weight differently than a BMR × multiplier stack, and at these activity tiers the PAL-class terms land above the classic multipliers.

Put bluntly: 395 kcal/day is not a rounding difference. It is the difference between "maintain on a small lunch" and "maintain with a second coffee and a snack" — decided entirely by which population average you borrowed.

Why the equations disagree: a one-paragraph history

Mifflin-St Jeor (1990, PMID 2305711) fitted resting expenditure to several hundred healthy adults spanning normal weight and obesity. The revised Harris–Benedict (Roza & Shizgal 1984) did not measure anyone new — it re-fitted the 1919 Harris & Benedict dataset with modern statistics, inheriting a cohort that predates most of modern nutrition science. The NASEM 2023 EER equations (DOI 10.17226/26818) come from the National Academies update behind current US and Canadian dietary reference intakes, and model total energy needs directly with explicit sex, age, body-size, and PAL-class terms instead of bolting a multiplier onto a resting prediction. Different cohorts, different decades, different statistics — different answers for the same body.

The honest way to use a number like this

None of the three is "the truth"; each is a population average you borrow for an individual, and the borrowing error is a few hundred kilocalories per day for every equation in the literature. The practical protocol, which the TDEE formulas compared guide and the calibration guide spell out in full:

The one thing not to do

Do not pick the equation that prints the number you wanted. If you would "rather" maintain on 2,189 than 2,743 kcal, that preference is not evidence — it is the bias this table exists to expose. The spread between equations is real information about your uncertainty; spending it on wishful thinking is the most expensive calorie accounting there is.

Frequently asked questions

Why do the three TDEE equations disagree at all?
Each equation was fitted to a different measurement study, so each line passes through a different population average. Mifflin-St Jeor (1990, PMID 2305711) was built on several hundred healthy adults; the revised Harris-Benedict (Roza & Shizgal 1984) is a re-derivation of the 1919 Harris & Benedict dataset with modern statistics; the NASEM 2023 EER equations (DOI 10.17226/26818) come from the National Academies update behind current US/Canada dietary reference intakes. Different cohorts, different fitted lines.
Which equation gives the highest TDEE here?
In this six-persona run, the revised Harris-Benedict gives the highest BMR in all six cases — by 58–121 kcal/day — with the largest margin for the heaviest persona, consistent with the known pattern that Harris-Benedict tends to overestimate, with the bias growing in obesity (Frankenfield 2005, PMID 15883556). At the full TDEE level the NASEM 2023 EER also reads above the Mifflin-based figure for every persona, because its PAL-class terms land above the classic multipliers at these activity tiers.
Is a 270–560 kcal spread between equations normal?
Yes. Individual prediction errors of a few hundred kilocalories per day are common for every resting-energy equation tested in the literature; the spread you see across equations is a honest window onto that uncertainty. This is why the TDEE calculator shows a range spanning half an activity tier in each direction, and why your own four-week weight trend outranks any equation.
Which equation should I trust for my own number?
For most healthy adults, Mifflin-St Jeor is the sensible default — it performed best overall in the Frankenfield 2005 systematic review. Read the NASEM 2023 number as a second opinion: where the two land far apart, that gap is your uncertainty band, not an error to be resolved by picking the number you prefer. Then calibrate against your own logged intake and weight over four weeks.
Does the activity multiplier matter more than the equation choice?
Often, yes. Adjacent activity tiers differ by roughly 150–250 kcal/day at typical BMR levels, and the mapping from a self-chosen label to a single multiplier is a rough mapping, not systematically validated for individuals. A one-tier mislabel can swamp the difference between two equations — which is exactly what the TDEE formulas compared guide digs into.
Where can I run all three equations on my own numbers?
The TDEE calculator shows Mifflin-based TDEE with its uncertainty range alongside a NASEM 2023 second reading; the BMR calculator exposes Mifflin and revised Harris-Benedict directly. Every result names its equation, version, and source next to the number.

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